Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 5.702112 6.256758 6.866342 7.590614 8.433754 9.391847 10.573862
2024-10-20 4.689947 5.398605 6.236744 7.317739 8.700419 10.447007 12.884569
2024-10-27 4.130788 4.902537 5.859997 7.165816 8.952310 11.396883 15.166707
2024-11-03 3.764745 4.573231 5.614003 7.098032 9.244414 12.391526 17.709124
2024-11-10 3.634403 4.519012 5.701310 7.467347 10.179791 14.479385 22.585115
2024-11-17 3.454182 4.373089 5.637853 7.598969 10.765041 16.134211 27.331404
2024-11-24 3.226810 4.138559 5.420530 7.464065 10.890544 17.018253 30.915039
2024-12-01 3.046931 3.954468 5.255841 7.384719 11.085999 18.061053 35.316289
2024-12-08 2.869003 3.759061 5.055750 7.222341 11.104663 18.756783 39.226726
2024-12-15 2.741770 3.628145 4.941138 7.184967 11.339474 19.947945 45.183469
2024-12-22 2.629735 3.511790 4.838679 7.154707 11.579165 21.209061 52.253194
2024-12-29 2.569435 3.468649 4.846503 7.313922 12.213546 23.568745 65.237223
2025-01-05 2.413874 3.278651 4.617678 7.051151 11.993999 23.890786 71.323454
2025-01-12 2.273538 3.106308 4.408897 6.810435 11.798820 24.272772 78.587328
2025-01-19 2.166069 2.978905 4.264736 6.674009 11.807761 25.230508 90.398042
2025-01-26 2.081822 2.883159 4.166262 6.612989 11.975245 26.721672 108.437022
2025-02-02 2.071699 2.904315 4.266122 6.945203 13.124687 31.825503 169.258385
2025-02-09 2.026577 2.865727 4.259210 7.063402 13.782528 35.696859 244.169138
2025-02-16 1.948238 2.768375 4.142016 6.942254 13.801985 37.204502 302.630909
2025-02-23 1.882868 2.689399 4.052711 6.870948 13.943813 39.324827 398.485018
2025-03-02 1.811267 2.596814 3.933498 6.724904 13.856412 40.444605 494.441644
2025-03-09 1.759935 2.536102 3.868860 6.691267 14.083310 43.191590 720.134946
2025-03-16 1.712670 2.480169 3.809693 6.664026 14.326138 46.234756 1134.906707